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Coffee Bean Purchase Prices Drop, Brazilians May Drink "Cheap Coffee" Next Year
According to Brazil's "G1" website, based on the Broad Consumer Price Index (IPCA-15) released by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE) on June 26, coffee powder was the second-largest item impacting that month's inflation after electricity. Its price rose 2.86% compared to May, but has accumulated a total increase of 81.6% over the past 12 months. On the other hand, in the fields, the most common and most consumed Arabica coffee beans in Brazil have seen prices begin to decline since entering the harvest season in March. Data from the Center for Advanced Studies in Applied Economics at the University of São Paulo (Cepea-Esalq/USP) shows that in June this year, the monthly average purchase price of this coffee variety dropped 17% from its historical peak in February. Brazilian economists indicate that the current trend is that the decline in coffee bean purchase prices will begin to affect end consumers in the second half of this year, but this impact will be gradual. However, if the subsequent harvest (from March to September) is favorable, consumers can expect a notable price reduction trend by 2026. Data from the National Institute of Geography and Statistics shows that the upward trend in coffee powder prices has been slowing month by month since March this year. Fernando Maximiliano, an analyst at StoneX's Brazilian branch, explains that from coffee bean harvesting, drying, processing, to roasting, packaging by manufacturers, and market distribution, it takes considerable time to transmit purchase price changes to consumers. Carlos Cogo, partner at Brazilian agricultural consulting firm Cogo, estimates that consumers may need 60 to 90 days to see noticeable price changes. However, Cogo also emphasizes that even as prices begin to fall, they will not immediately return to levels before the second half of 2024. "This is the beginning of a gradual recovery." Maximiliano shares a similar view. He points out that coffee powder inflation will begin to decline month by month, but the cumulative inflation over the past 12 months will continue to rise. In other words, even with a downward trend, coffee powder prices will remain high for some time. Regarding the reasons for the decline in field coffee bean purchase prices, Cogo believes that besides Brazil's harvest season, coffee production in
Foodmate · 2025년 6월 30일

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시장 동향 및 가격

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혁신 및 기술

최신 기술 혁신이 전 세계 농식품 공급망을 어떻게 재구성하고 있는지 알아보세요
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규정 및 규정 준수

세계 농업 무역에 영향을 미치는 주요 무역 정책, 법적 요구 사항 및 준수 고려 사항에 대해 알아보세요
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공급망 관리

농식품 공급망 전반에 걸쳐 효율성을 개선하고 비용을 절감하며 운영을 간소화하는 검증된 전략을 발견하세요
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떠오르는 시장 기회

새로운 시장 기회를 가장 먼저 탐색하고 그것이 귀하의 농업 비즈니스에 어떻게 영향을 미칠 수 있는지 이해하십시오
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식품 안전 및 품질

생산 및 가공에서부터 저장 및 운송에 이르기까지 공급망 전반에 걸쳐 식품 안전 및 품질 관리를 위한 세계 최고의 관행을 배우세요

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