Is Vietnam's seafood export cooling down? It turns out the fate of crabs is in the hands of whales.
An official statement from the United States, labeling them as "unqualified," has sentenced Vietnam's 12 fisheries to "death": starting from January 2026, tuna, crab, and squid will no longer be able to enter the U.S. market. The reason is "lofty"—fishing methods may harm marine mammals. As a result, containers laboriously pulled ashore by Vietnamese fishermen are blocked at ports by a notification, with estimated losses reaching up to $500 million.
This is the absurdity of global trade. Vietnamese fishermen toil day and night, enterprises invest in cold chain processing, thinking they were competing with Thailand and India, only to find their opponents are the breathing rights of whales. While Thailand, India, and Japan have already obtained U.S. permits, Vietnam is stuck, watching helplessly as the market is intercepted.
In fact, Vietnam has been making efforts to reform in recent years: upgrading vessels, establishing supervision, and submitting data reports. However, the U.S. requirements are like an unreachable bar—once you reach 70 points, they tell you that 95 points are needed to qualify. Thus, Vietnam's improvements have become "futile efforts."
This scenario is a black humor in the business world. Fishermen thought they were selling fish, enterprises thought they were exporting, but their real buyers are not supermarkets, but U.S. laws. No matter how high the fish prices or how good the quality, they are no match for a dolphin accidentally caught in a net.
The urgent call from the deputy minister is more like a captain's announcement: "Everyone, patch up the holes quickly, don't wait until the ship sinks to panic." The problem is that the holes are still at the bottom of the ship, and the patches are only valid if the U.S. nods in approval.
The plight of Vietnamese seafood serves as a warning bell for any country dependent on exports. Today it is dolphins, tomorrow it could be carbon emissions, and the day after, perhaps "insufficiently transparent food labels." At the global trade table, the goods are fish, but the game is played with politics, environmental protection, and discourse rights.