코트디부아르 코코아콩 인사이트

Cocoa and coffee are set to end 2024 as the top-gaining commodities for the second year in a row, taking advantage of a global supply deficit, while steelmaking coal will be the worst performer, hurt by China’s slow growth. Looking ahead, global trade tensions are likely to dominate the commodities landscape in 2025, with Donald Trump’s return to the White House threatening hefty tariffs, analysts said. A strong dollar and gold’s appeal as a safe haven for investors are likely to support precious metals prices, while ample supply could depress oil for a third straight year, they added. The bad news for chocolate lovers is that cocoa has nearly tripled in price over the course of 2024, far outpacing gains in other commodities. The contract hit a record high of $12,931 per metric ton in New York earlier this month on forecasts of a fourth consecutive supply crunch.

There was no rain last week in most of Ivory Coast’s main cocoa-growing regions, and farmers said on Monday that dry weather could harm the quality of the beans and reduce supplies from February. The world’s largest cocoa producer is in the dry season, which runs from mid-November to March, when rainfall is low. Farmers said there were enough pods on the trees to be harvested in January, but from February the main October-March crop would start to decline. They said they would start monitoring the development of the April-September average crop from January. Good rains are needed to trigger more flowering and help the plants develop into small pods for a strong start to the average crop in April, farmers added. In the central-western region of Daloa and the central regions of Bongouanou and Yamoussoukro, which had no rain last week, farmers

Cocoa prices fell on Friday, weighed down by massive fund liquidations in weak year-end markets. The ICE NY March contract fell 905 points (-8.21%), while the ICE London contract fell 994 points (-10.88%). This decline was exacerbated by profit-taking amid high export volumes by major producers such as Ivory Coast. Recent data shows that Ivorian farmers shipped 970,945 tonnes of cocoa between October 1 and December 15, marking a 30% increase compared to 744,967 tonnes in the same period last year. Meanwhile, Nigeria, the world’s sixth-largest producer, also increased its exports in November, registering a 35% increase to 38,015 tonnes. Despite the downward pressure, weather conditions in West Africa remain a concern for the market. Recent warnings from Maxar Technologies indicate that prolonged drought in the region is hampering development