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Cocoa and coffee are set to end 2024 as the top-gaining commodities for the second year in a row, taking advantage of a global supply deficit, while steelmaking coal will be the worst performer, hurt by China’s slow growth. Looking ahead, global trade tensions are likely to dominate the commodities landscape in 2025, with Donald Trump’s return to the White House threatening hefty tariffs, analysts said. A strong dollar and gold’s appeal as a safe haven for investors are likely to support precious metals prices, while ample supply could depress oil for a third straight year, they added. The bad news for chocolate lovers is that cocoa has nearly tripled in price over the course of 2024, far outpacing gains in other commodities. The contract hit a record high of $12,931 per metric ton in New York earlier this month on forecasts of a fourth consecutive supply crunch.

Global coffee prices are soaring. One of the main reasons is difficult weather conditions. The New York Times writes that in recent years, persistent droughts and floods have reduced the world's coffee supply, which often caused sharp increases in prices. At the same time, global demand for coffee continues to grow, and coffee lovers are reducing their consumption. In December, prices in one market hit a nearly 50-year high. Although prices may fall, Taleon Tremain, CEO and co-founder of California-based Pachamama Coffee, says that instability threatens the sustainability of businesses like his and the income of farmers. "Over time, we will see much higher prices," Tremain said. "Supply is not meeting demand." Since the beginning of November alone, the wholesale price of the bean has jumped more than 30%. Futures prices for Arabica beans rose to more than $3.30 a pound in mid-December, breaking a 47-year-old record.

(Agraria.pe) As coffee and chocolate prices rise on global markets, alternative cereal-based products are gaining strength to continue meeting growing demand in Europe.