Brazil Non-Alcoholic Beverage insights

Brazilian coffee production is projected to reach 55.7 million bags in the 2025 harvest, representing a growth of 2.7% compared to the previous cycle, even in a year of negative biennial production. According to the 2nd Survey of the 2025 Coffee Harvest, released by the National Supply Company (Conab) this Tuesday (6), this volume, if confirmed, will be the largest ever recorded for a year of low biennial production, exceeding the 2023 harvest by 1.1%.

At the end of the trading session early this morning (April 30) on the London - UK floor, Robusta coffee prices fell across the board from 110 - 115 USD/ton after peaking at 111 USD/ton, but then plummeted. Specifically, the terms are as follows: July 2025 to 5298 USD/ton, down 115 USD/ton. September 2025 to 5251 USD/ton, down 114 USD/ton. November 2025 to 5188 USD/ton, down 112 USD/ton. January 2026 to 5102 USD/ton, down 110 USD/ton. Arabica coffee also performed similarly. The July 2025 delivery period decreased by 180 USD/ton to 8,860 USD/ton. The latest domestic coffee price is at 130,800 VND/kg and is expected to lose the 130,000 VND/kg mark today due to the impact of world prices. International media cited a report by Rabobank (Netherlands) predicting that Brazil's coffee output in the 2025-2026 crop year will decrease by 6.4% to 62.8 million bags, equivalent to 3.768 million tons. Meanwhile, Arabica is expected to have a crop failure with a 13.6% loss in ...

Core Tip: Against the backdrop of rising global coffee prices, a new product called "coffee-flavored powder" appeared in the Brazilian market at the beginning of the year, commonly known as "fake coffee" by consumers. On Wednesday (23rd), the Brazilian Ministry of Agriculture reported that three brands of related products seized in February this year did not contain any coffee ingredients at all, and not only could they not be classified as coffee, but also did not meet food standards. The Ministry of Agriculture has made public the identification standards for real and fake coffee, unveiling the veil of this food fraud.