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According to Rabobank's current forecast, EU and UK pork production will fall by 0.5% in 2025 compared to this year. The Netherlands is particularly hard hit, with a 10-15% drop in pig herds. Dutch experts expect EU pork prices to rise next year due to a likely lower supply of pork.

Berlin / London / Paris / Warsaw / Vienna - In Europe, the epidemic pressure caused by bird flu is slowly increasing again. Outbreaks in poultry farms are being reported in more and more countries. According to the French Platform for Animal Health (ESA), Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza (HPAI) has currently been detected in 24 countries, most recently in Albania, Romania, Great Britain and Turkey.

On November 5, 2024, the European Union and the United Kingdom announced the complete cessation of beef imports from Brazil. This decision was a result of serious concerns about the use of the hormone estradiol in animals. European regulators noted that Brazil could not guarantee the absence of this hormone in the meat, which is a mandatory requirement for imports into Europe. According to Brazil's Agrifatto statistical agency, the UK accounts for 6.9% of Brazil's total beef exports. In the first eight months of 2024, beef shipments to Europe and the United Kingdom brought the country €521 million, significantly less than the €675 million for the whole of 2023. This decrease in revenue puts at risk not only Brazil's meat producers, but also the country's economy as a whole, since the meat industry plays an important role in Brazilian exports.