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The largest beef-producing nations all look like having less to sell in 2025, creating a shortage of supply against a backdrop of ever-increasing global demand. That puts Australia in the box seat. We will be the first of the major exporters to turn the corner and have an increase in production to send to hungry overseas markets. This is the thinking of a number of beef market analysts and industry leaders, many of whom say that while economic pressures and high living costs pose hurdles, along with political and trade uncertainties, the outlook for Australian beef exports is solid. Rabobank's latest Global Beef Quarterly predicts 2025 herd contraction for the world's big four beef producers - the United States, Brazil, China and Europe. That will significantly alter beef trade flows, Rabobank says. Reductions in China, Europe and New Zealand are also likely and Australia may be the only top-10 beef-producing nation to post year-over-year production gains in 2025, the big agribusi

As global beef supplies tighten in 2025, driven by herd reductions in key producing nations such as the United States, Australia is uniquely positioned to capitalise as their primary competitor into key beef export markets like Japan and South Korea. Coupled with New Zealand's waning competitiveness in sheepmeat exports due to a declining flock and falling export volumes, Australia's position as the leading global supplier of sheepmeat is advantageous. Free Trade Agreements signed since 2020 have unlocked greater access to developing markets and Australia has already begun to see significant growth in red meat exports to nations like Indonesia, PNG, India, and the UK, with further opportunities emerging in the UAE and ongoing negotiations with the EU. The Indonesia-Australia Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement, formalised in July 2020, has been a standout trade development for Australian red meat exports. Since its inception, Australia's beef exports to Indonesia have grow

Given the zig zagging nature of the key cattle indicators in 2024, the fact it's being labelled as the year that balance set in might seem extravagant but there is decent argument to the claim. Despite far stronger supply as a result of a rebuilt herd, prices in most categories either held up or made gains, indicating the system can now absorb the larger supply. Meat & Livestock Australia calculated prices over the year lifted by 20 to 39 per cent. Increased processor capacity and strong global demand for beef are two of the key reasons that happened. 2024 was also very much a year when opinion was split as to what was coming and whether or not producers were liquidating, rebuilding or in a maintenance phase. In line with that, the year finished with divided forecasts for 2025. Some analysts feel the fundamentals are such that upward movement in prices is on the cards. Others believe most producers will be destocking come early 2025 and that will lead to a slight decline in the m