Ukraine Grain & Cereals insights

In the 2025/26 MY, barley production in Ukraine will decrease, so farmers expect prices to increase, but the market will remain under pressure from increased global feed production.

In Ukraine, against the backdrop of a reduction in sown areas and the impact of weather risks, a significant decrease in the gross barley harvest in the new season is expected. This is reported by the analytical department of the agricultural cooperative PUSK, established within the VAR. “This year, we expect a barley harvest of

This was reported by the analytical department of the agricultural cooperative PUSK, created within the VAR. “This year we expect a barley harvest of about 5.1–5.3 million tons, which is 40% lower than the pre-war level. This means a significant decrease in supply already at the start of the season, and the market is gradually starting to take this into account in prices,” analysts note. Demand for Ukrainian barley is growing, especially from China, which is returning to the market, and the countries of Southern Europe. This creates the prerequisites for stabilization and even growth in export activity. “China has already contracted about 500 thousand tons of Ukrainian barley for July–August, and European importers — in particular, Spain and Italy — are also stepping up purchases. Traders are trying to close the volume needs in advance, given the limited prospects for domestic production,” PUSK reported. Analysts also see potential for price increases in the second half of the ...